I’m not a very good stats man but from my short experiences of buying packs, breaks and singles I’ve learnt what works best for me and that’s taking the gambling aspect out of it and buy the cards I want.
This is unique to me because I don’t mind spending the money and I understand not everyone can. I can choose to buy graded or find undervalued cards and even trade for them.
With breaks, it’s fun yes when you hit a good team but then you still need to hit a card in that break. The amount of times a Pels spot in a break just makes their money back is kind of sad too.
I often think if I had of just saved my break money I could buy a box of my choice.
Buying boxes is probably the most fun because you get to handle the cards and for a moment that box is worth exactly what you paid for it, as soon as you drive that car out of the dealership it’s lost it’s value though
This one is also the most deflating after a hitless box
Buy the cards you want kids and only break or bust boxes for fun.
I’d be keen to hear what your stats say. I’m guessing similar to my experiences.