Panini National Treasures Collection

Johnny_Utah

OzCardTrader
Messages
7
Location
Adelaide
Real Name
Chris
Hi All,

With the National Treasures collection costing in the region of $5k. Is there a guarantee that it’s contents inside, would exceed this value?

Looking to understand a bit more about this.

Cheers
 
I would say a less than 1% chance the value inside would be more. Box breaking has always been a big risk/gamble for people hoping to get their money back but a great rush for people trying to hit that big card on the set list or a card for the collection or cards to finish a set. i would advise not to think about it as an investment, rather as the hobby/fun experience it started out as when we were kids.
 
Appreciate the reply. First time collecting again in 20 years and definitely more from a hobby perspective, but was curious if National Treasure cards were good from an investment perspective as well, given their cost.

Cheers
 
Appreciate the reply. First time collecting again in 20 years and definitely more from a hobby perspective, but was curious if National Treasure cards were good from an investment perspective as well, given their cost.

Cheers

NT probably has the highest ceiling in the basketball side of the hobby.

Most people consider the NT vertical base /99 RPA's as a players true RPA. The 99's often fetch much larger sales than lower numbered parallels of the same card.

Logoman 1/1 for the right rookies could be worth as much some houses.

You get 10 cards per Hobby Box, so they average out at $500 a card, it's a pretty big floor to overcome. This might seem OK, until you hit Bol Bol and Kelly Oubre auto's and you have sunk 3,500 of the $5k.

Remembering the total print run is about 70,000-80,000 of different individual cards and their parallels, even in high end product like NT.

So your chance of hitting a 1/1 of Chet is maybe 13,000/1.

Hitting a Chet base RPA or any of it's paralells (or a single player you are chasing) is around 400/1 based on the print run totals.

The last Chet /75 standard RPA sold for $2.5k USD. If you bought a box, you would be stoked if you hit that.

So I would recommend just going and buying a single of what you want if you want to invest in NT of a particular player.

If you want to gamble, that's fine, but just treat it like sticking $5k in the pokies or anything else and do it for the enjoyment and the rush associated with it.
 
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