Judd early pick for Brownlow Medal
18 December 2007 Herald Sun
Jon Ralph
RECENT groin surgery and a move to an underperforming club have not stopped Carlton recruit Chris Judd being installed as next season's Brownlow Medal favourite.
Prized Carlton recruit Chris Judd is the early favourite to win his second Brownlow Medal next year, ahead of Geelong star Gary Ablett. Picture: George Salpigtidis
Judd will be the $10 favourite when TAB Sportsbet's markets open today, ahead of Geelong premiership star Gary Ablett ($12).
Judd is unlikely to take part in the early rounds of the NAB Cup following groin-release surgery, after joining a team that has finished in the bottom two in five of the past six years.
However TAB Sportsbet's Gary Davies said yesterday the 2004 Brownlow medallist's vote-polling ability could not be ignored.
"He was $8 when we opened last year and is $10 this year, so he is not as short, with the combination of uncertainty over his operation and us not expecting Carlton to win as many games," Davies said.
"But he is such a classy player and Carlton will have a pretty good midfield, so you can see them getting away with eight or nine wins this year.
"That price is based on his groin being OK, but if it showed early that it wasn't right, he would quickly be turned out."
While punters wage plenty of money in the weeks leading into the Brownlow Medal, there is value to be had with long-range predictions.
This year's Brownlow medallist Jimmy Bartel, who will open at $21, started last season at $301.
Davies said he expected Hawk Lance Franklin, who will start at $35, to be an instant hit with punters.
Brisbane Lions forward Jonathan Brown is equal third favourite at $13 with Daniel Kerr, but Davies said the Eagle was a risky proposition.
"He won't have (Ben) Cousins and Judd taking votes off him, but he will find it tougher without them," Davies said. "That was the quandary, and his record of getting reported wasn't that good. Punters will have to take Kerr with a grain of salt."
Carlton's No. 1 draft pick Matthew Kreuzer will start at $501.
2008 Brownlow Medal betting:
Chris Judd (Carlton) $10
Gary Ablett (Geelong) $12
Jonathan Brown (Brisbane) $13
Daniel Kerr (West Coast) $13
Adam Goodes (Sydney) $15
Sam Mitchell (Hawthorn) $17
Matthew Pavlich (Fremantle) $21
Jimmy Bartel (Geelong) $21
Simon Black (Brisbane) $21
Nick Riewoldt (St Kilda) $21
Andrew McLeod (Adelaide) $28
Dean Cox (West Coast) $31
Brent Harvey (Kangaroos) $31
Nick Dal Santo (St Kilda) $35
Lance Franklin (Hawthorn) $35
Luke Hodge (Hawthorn) $35
Scott West (Western Bulldogs) $35
what do people think about this cheers steve-o
18 December 2007 Herald Sun
Jon Ralph
RECENT groin surgery and a move to an underperforming club have not stopped Carlton recruit Chris Judd being installed as next season's Brownlow Medal favourite.
Prized Carlton recruit Chris Judd is the early favourite to win his second Brownlow Medal next year, ahead of Geelong star Gary Ablett. Picture: George Salpigtidis
Judd will be the $10 favourite when TAB Sportsbet's markets open today, ahead of Geelong premiership star Gary Ablett ($12).
Judd is unlikely to take part in the early rounds of the NAB Cup following groin-release surgery, after joining a team that has finished in the bottom two in five of the past six years.
However TAB Sportsbet's Gary Davies said yesterday the 2004 Brownlow medallist's vote-polling ability could not be ignored.
"He was $8 when we opened last year and is $10 this year, so he is not as short, with the combination of uncertainty over his operation and us not expecting Carlton to win as many games," Davies said.
"But he is such a classy player and Carlton will have a pretty good midfield, so you can see them getting away with eight or nine wins this year.
"That price is based on his groin being OK, but if it showed early that it wasn't right, he would quickly be turned out."
While punters wage plenty of money in the weeks leading into the Brownlow Medal, there is value to be had with long-range predictions.
This year's Brownlow medallist Jimmy Bartel, who will open at $21, started last season at $301.
Davies said he expected Hawk Lance Franklin, who will start at $35, to be an instant hit with punters.
Brisbane Lions forward Jonathan Brown is equal third favourite at $13 with Daniel Kerr, but Davies said the Eagle was a risky proposition.
"He won't have (Ben) Cousins and Judd taking votes off him, but he will find it tougher without them," Davies said. "That was the quandary, and his record of getting reported wasn't that good. Punters will have to take Kerr with a grain of salt."
Carlton's No. 1 draft pick Matthew Kreuzer will start at $501.
2008 Brownlow Medal betting:
Chris Judd (Carlton) $10
Gary Ablett (Geelong) $12
Jonathan Brown (Brisbane) $13
Daniel Kerr (West Coast) $13
Adam Goodes (Sydney) $15
Sam Mitchell (Hawthorn) $17
Matthew Pavlich (Fremantle) $21
Jimmy Bartel (Geelong) $21
Simon Black (Brisbane) $21
Nick Riewoldt (St Kilda) $21
Andrew McLeod (Adelaide) $28
Dean Cox (West Coast) $31
Brent Harvey (Kangaroos) $31
Nick Dal Santo (St Kilda) $35
Lance Franklin (Hawthorn) $35
Luke Hodge (Hawthorn) $35
Scott West (Western Bulldogs) $35
what do people think about this cheers steve-o
lol
Hope the Richo Jinx continues 
