There seems to be alot of talk about the flooding of the market with Game Used, Autos and endles parallels and it got me thinking. Is it really that there is to much or is it the fact it is now to "easy" to get and that there are to many "sellers".
Take a look at the inserts of the early 90s, most tough inserts including the SE Diecuts were placed around 1 per box. These same inserts (Shaq and Penny) for example reached values of up to $300. The reason, without the internet not every single person was a seller nor did they have the power to advertise to millions of people what they had to offer. You either pulled one from a pack, traded away half your collection for one or forked out the money to the local card shop. These cards were produced in the thousands but they still held value. Even up until 1998 I remember if a card was numbered out of 100 you would be lucky to see 2 or 3 come up on eBay.
eBay has made every one of us a seller in our own rights. I know that I sell off just about anything that I know I can get some coin for thats not needed in my collection and so does every other Joe Blogg around the world. The fact now that there may be a card numbered out of 100 but only 20-30 people seriously collect that player then what happens to the other 70-80 out there when it seems like more than 50% of every low numbered card gets chucked up on eBay? They end up selling for pennies and used as trade bait. It doesn't bother me if I miss out on a card numbered out of 25 as I know another will probably pop up next week and theres only a handful of guys trying to get it. Lets face it without the internet how many cards of your player would you have numbered out of 10, 25, 50 and of course 1/1s when they could be anywhere in the world!
Maybe the problem isn't the flooding of the market but the technology allowing us to hunt down every single card with relative ease and the fact that everyone is now a dealer....
But was there a slump in the mid 90s or was it just a loss of Australian interest. I loved it when standing in a card shop guys would come in and say "Wow, they still make cards!?" Well yes just because people in Australia stopped buying doesn't mean the US stopped producing cards!
Another way to look of it is without the internet how many auto/GU cards of your favourite players would you have and how much would you be prepared to fork out for one at your local shop. My guess is alot more!
Well, no doubt there was a lack of Australian interest (so a slump in the Aussie market), I don't know first hand if there was a lack of interest in the US, maybe we can get an American perspective. They didn't stop making cards then, but they certainly aren't going to stop making them now either...so how do you gauge if the hobby is "dying"? If it is only measured by production, then let me assure you it will not die in our lifetimes. I think a collecting market dies/slumps when the supply outstrips demand by a long way. This happened in the Comics industry in the mid 90's as well, they just had so much overproduction and rushed out so many books that (overall) product quality suffered, demand dwindled and there was a real risk of the whole industry imploding on itself.
Well, no doubt there was a lack of Australian interest (so a slump in the Aussie market), I don't know first hand if there was a lack of interest in the US, maybe we can get an American perspective. They didn't stop making cards then, but they certainly aren't going to stop making them now either...so how do you gauge if the hobby is "dying"? If it is only measured by production, then let me assure you it will not die in our lifetimes. I think a collecting market dies/slumps when the supply outstrips demand by a long way. This happened in the Comics industry in the mid 90's as well, they just had so much overproduction and rushed out so many books that (overall) product quality suffered, demand dwindled and there was a real risk of the whole industry imploding on itself.
I think its different with cards for the fact that there are boxes with random goodies to be had. Theres always going to be buyers busting them looking for a jackpot card. Its almost like gambling.
As for the quality side, although the technology for producing is getting better I think the quality control may be dwindling. Wrong jerseys on cards, wrong sticker autos on cards and if your going to be spending $1000+ on 5 cards in a box of exquisite surely you can make them come out perfectly mint condition without chipping!
didn't UD or Skybox have a printing factory here in the 90's.
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